Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Ethan Matthew
Sportsbook Wire

The Chicago Cubs (49-67) visit the Baltimore Orioles (61-56) Thursday, making up a postponed June 8 game. First pitch is set for 3:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Cubs vs. Oriolesodds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

After taking 2 of 3 at the Toronto Blue Jays, the Orioles sit 1½ games back of the final AL wild-card spot. Despite Orioles RHP Austin Voth allowing just 2 hits in 6 scoreless innings, Baltimore lost 6-1 to Toronto Wednesday. Voth received no run support - the O's didn't score until the 8th - and the bullpen yielded 6 runs in the bottom of the 7th.

The Cubs also won their midweek road series, beating the Washington Nationals twice after dropping Monday's opener. Cubs C Yan Gomes' RBI single broke a 2-2 tie in the top of the 7th in a 3-2 victory.

Thursday starts a rough stretch for the Cubs, who will play 18 consecutive games against teams - Milwaukee (6), St. Louis (8) and Toronto (3) - with winning records.

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Cubs at Orioles projected starters

RHP Adrian Sampson vs. RHP

Sampson (0-3, 3.88 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 53 1/3 IP.

  • Allowing a .304 BA in interleague games this season
  • Last 7 games (all starts): 0-3, 4.10 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 28 K, 4 HR

Watkins (4-2, 4.23 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • August splits: 5.02 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 8 ER) in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last outing: 3 IP of relief (no-decision), 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 K Saturday at Tampa Bay in 8-2 loss
  • Last 7 starts: 4-1, 2.52 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 31 K, 2 HR

Cubs at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML) : Cubs +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Cubs +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U) : 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Cubs at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Cubs 3

Money line

The Cubs, to put it bluntly, are not good against the American League. They have a 4-12 record, including 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games against teams with a winning record.

TAKE ORIOLES (- 160).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles have been dominant all season ATS, leading MLB with a 65% coverage rate (76-41). But they were the underdogs in most of those games, going 68-33 ATS.

As a favorite, Baltimore covers just 50% of the time, going 8-8 ATS. As home favorites, the Orioles are 6-8 ATS, covering 42.9% of their chances.

However, the -160 juice is too high to take on a below-average Cubs team.

It's best to AVOID altogether.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (- 102) as both teams trend toward the Under in interleague play.

The Orioles sport the majors' best Under record in that situation with a 10-4-3 Under mark vs. the NL (71.4%)

The Cubs play Under 53.3% (8-7-1) of the time against the AL. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Cubs' previous 4 games against the AL East.

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